Soon You Will Be One Too
2016-05-19 12:55:49 UTC
Among non-Hispanic whites, deaths are exceeding births,
according to new census estimates June 25, 2015 12:01AM ET
by Haya El Nasser @hayaelna
The nations demographics are on a clear trajectory: White
people are dying faster than they are being born, which means
they are on target to become a minority in the United States in
For the third year in a row, deaths of non-Hispanic whites
outnumbered births, according to detailed population estimates
for states and counties released Thursday by the U.S. Census
This is without historical precedent, said Kenneth Johnson,
the senior demographer at the University of New Hampshires
Carsey School of Public Policy. The minority population is
growing, and the non-Hispanic white population is not.
Whites currently account for 62 percent of the population but
78 percent of deaths, according to Johnsons analysis.
Their median age half are older and half younger has hit an
all-time high of 43, said William Frey, a demographer at the
Brookings Institution. For the first time, whites are in the
minority among children under the age of 5.
Since 2010, the overall under age 20 population is declining,
while working ages and especially seniors are growing, Frey
White populations under 20 declined in 46 states in all but
Hawaii, Utah, South Dakota, North Dakota and the District of
Non-Hispanic whites were the only group with a higher death
rate than birthrate. As a result, their numbers grew the
slowest: up 0.5 percent from 2013 to 2014, compared with 2.1
percent for Hispanics, 1.3 percent for black people, 3.2
percent for Asians, 1.4 percent for American Indians and Alaska
Natives, and 2.3 percent for native Hawaiians and other Pacific
I dont think people fully appreciate how much natural
increase [more births than deaths] contributes to the nations
growing diversity, Johnson said. If you ask people why is
America more diverse, they would say its because minorities
are being born. What nobody ever thinks about is that a lot
more whites are dying.
Minority population gains accounted for 95 percent of the U.S.
population increase, largely due to Hispanic and Asian
immigration, and more births.
The July 1, 2014 estimates show that the millennial generation,
those people born from 1982 to 2000, is the largest group in
the U.S. totaling 83.1 million one-quarter of the population.
They outnumber the previously dominant baby boomer generation
by almost 8 million.
Millennials are more diverse than any previous generation. More
than 44 percent are part of a minority race or ethnicity.
Five jurisdictions are already majority-minority. Hawaii has
the largest majority-minority at 77 percent, followed by the
District of Columbia (64.2 percent), California (61.5 percent),
New Mexico (61.1 percent) and Texas (56.5 percent) Nevada, now
at 48.5 percent minority, is the next expected to cross the
California the nations most populous state with 38.8 million
residents and Los Angeles County had the largest white,
Hispanic, Asian and American Indian populations of any state or
county. Texas added the most whites, blacks and Hispanics from
2013 to 2014.
New York had the largest African-American population 3.8
million, but the District of Columbia had the highest
percentage of black residents, with 50.6 percent.
So we are having an older white population, with whites, once
again, showing a minority of births, Frey said. These new
estimates showing declining white births, minority white
toddlers and pervasive losses in the nations under age 20
white population indicate that future generations almost
everywhere will be increasingly made up of minorities.